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USD/JPY forecast: Stalemate looms on BOJ intervention threat, range trading favoured
The threat of intervention from the BOJ has increased, likely limiting upside for USD/JPY in the near to medium-term. But extremely wide interest rate differentials and buoyant markets suggest it shouldn’t be significantly lower. It points to a stalemate for yen bulls and bears but opens the door for traders to play existing ranges.
Forex Seasonality – April 2024: GBP/USD’s Most Bullish Month, USD/CAD’s Most Bearish
GBP/USD has historically seen its strongest gains in April, while USD/CAD has seen its worst performance in April and is testing resistance at its 4-month highs near 1.3600.
USD/JPY, FTSE Forecast: Two trades to watch
USD/JPY rises to a 34-year high & is on intervention watch. FTSE falls despite Chinese industrial profits rising.
USD/CNH looks eerily similar to USD/JPY right now. Multi-year highs incoming?
There’s not much difference between the USD/CNH and USD/JPY on the weekly charts, other than the former appears to be lagging the latter right now. With the yen falling to fresh multi-year lows even with the threat of intervention from the BOJ, will the yuan be next?
USD/JPY analysis: Gearing up for a breakout?
Watch out for Japanese intervention, Tokyo CPI and US core PCE inflation data this week, as the dollar rebounds after a weaker start. USD/JPY technical analysis point to a bullish breakout
USD/JPY forecast: Japan’s weak yen headache risks becoming a full-blown migraine
Japanese officials are once again attempting to talk down the high-flying USD/JPY, arguing moves over the past few weeks do not reflect fundamentals but speculative activity. Sitting in a technical pattern that points the risk of substantial upside ahead, their weak yen headache may soon turn into a full-blown migraine.
USD/JPY, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
USD/JPY holds steady amid intervention threat. Oil rises as geopolitical tensions rise.
AUD/USD net-short exposure reached a record high last week: COT report
An increase of bearish bets against AUD/USD pushed net-short exposure to a record high among large speculators.
USD rallies on hawkish Fed, although USD/JPY falters below 152: Asian Open
The market appears to be doing the BOJ's work by refusing to test 152, which paints a bearish bias over the near term for USD/JPY.
USD/JPY eyes 152, Crude oil stabilises above $80: Asian Open
An SNB cut and dovish comments bolstered the US dollar to bring USD/JPY less then 30-pips from 152. WTI crude oil is also showing signs of stability above $80.
Gold, USD/JPY, TLT ETF: Assessing trade setups for a Fed determined to cut rates
A macro guide for screening trade setups for a higher growth, higher inflation environment, featuring a bullish breakout, a potential bullish breakout and an important market indicator.
Fed Meeting Analysis: FOMC and Powell Still Looking For Excuses to Cut
Fed Chairman Powell sounded like someone who was looking for an excuse – any excuse – to cut interest rates in his press conference.
Japanese yen slides post BOJ, do we need to be on intervention alert?
The fact that the yen was broadly weaker following the BOJ's historic hike shows that it was not only priced in, but traders wanted more. Yet the rapid weakness of the yen brings back a familiar question; will the BOJ begin verbal intervention?
USD/JPY analysis: What’s next for JPY and USD amid diverging policies?
Will the yen make a comeback with BoJ finally ending negative rates? Attention now turns to FOMC policy decision, with traders expecting the median dot plots to point to 2 rate cuts in 2024 – but is a hawkish Fed already priced in? USD/JPY technical analysis points higher, but do watch out for a potential false breakout.
USD/JPY, DAX Forecast: Two trades to watch
USD/JPY rises despite the BoJ hiking rates and ahead of the Fed's rate decision tomorrow. The DAX struggles for direction ahead of wage growth and German ZEW economic sentiment data.
AUD/USD, USD/JPY in focus for RBA and BOJ meetings: Asian Open
1-day implied volatility for USD/JPY has risen to 320% of its 20-day average ahead of today's BOJ meeting, to show volatility is expected. And the best chance of AUD/USD enjoying its own volatility is if the RBA finally ditch their hawkish bias.
USD/JPY analysis: BoJ and FOMC Meetings Key Focus in Financial Markets – Currency Pair of the Week
The USD/JPY will face a major test in the week ahead, with both the Bank of Japan and US Federal Reserve set to make monetary policy decisions a day apart. The USD/JPY has managed to recover strongly, rising from around 146.50 to above 149.00 in a few days. The recovery has been driven in part because of a rebound in bond yields a stronger dollar.
Nikkei 225 longs favoured into BOJ and Fed rate decisions, Nvidia GPU conference
Recent price action in Nikkei 225 futures points to upside risks this week, indicating confidence among traders that even with major events such as rate decisions from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve, along with Nvidia’s GPU Technology Conference, the bull market that helped propel the underlying index to record highs is anything but finished.
USD/JPY Forecast: BOJ and Fed Enter the Arena, Yields in Focus
USD/JPY's key technical levels to watch in the coming days include possible resistance at 149.70 and 151.00, with support down at 148.70 and 145.85.
USD/JPY, Gold and GBP/USD analysis - Forex Friday, March 15, 2024
Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we highlight selected currency themes. In this week’s report, we will discuss the US dollar, Japanese yen, gold and the pound ahead of a busy next week for central banks.
USD bears scramble, USD/JPY eyes breakout after US data: Asian Open
US dollar bears scrambled for cover following hot US economic data ahead of next week’s Fed meeting, helping USD/JPY rise to a 5-day high and eye a potential breakout today.
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, and GBP/JPY in Play Ahead of BOJ
The long-awaited results from the Japan’s spring wage negotiations are winding down, and the results are generally what the BOJ wanted to see to exit its ultra-accommodative monetary policy. See the key levels to watch on USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, and GBP/JPY!
USD/JPY, DAX Forecast: Two trades to watch
USD/JPY forecast: The pair rises ahead of a drop in US data. DAX forecast: The German index rises to a new all-time high.