What mattered last week:
- A strong start to the year as the S&P500 closed the week +1.83% higher at 3825, another record close.
- Supported by prospects of more stimulus following the Democrats winning both Georgia Senate elections.
- And despite the continued acceleration of new COVID19 cases in the UK, EU, and the US.
- Congress confirmed that Joe Biden won the US Presidential election.
- Volatility, as measured by the VIX index dropped -5.23%, to 21.6.
- U.S. 10-year yields rose 20bps to near 1.12%.
- In response to the rise in yields, gold fell -2.59%, to close near $1850.
- Crude oil rose over +7%, to close at $52.24/bbl supported by Saudi output cuts.
- The ASX200 started the year strongly rising +2.59% to close at 6757.9.
- In FX, the AUDUSD rose +0.87% to close near .7760, on the back of buoyant risk sentiment and strong commodity prices.
For the week ahead, the key events are:
Australia: Housing finance (Friday).
New Zealand: Building approvals (Thursday).
China: CPI (Monday), balance of trade, new yuan loans, and total social financing (Thursday), house price index (Friday).
- CPI (Monday): Inflation is expected to rise by 0.1% in December from -0.5% y/y.
Japan: Current account, (Tuesday), machinery orders, and PPI (Thursday).
U.S: CPI (Wednesday), jobless claims (Thursday), retail sales, industrial production (Friday).
- CPI (Wednesday): Core CPI for December is expected to remain at 1.6% y/y.
Fed speakers on the wires include Powell, Brainard, and Clarida.
Canada: Nothing of note.
Euro Area: EA industrial production (Wednesday), German Government budget, and German GDP Thursday).
UK: Industrial production and GDP (Friday).
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