A boost in US consumer confidence fails to push indices higher
Gary Christie September 30, 2020 7:14 AM
EURUSD jumps back into consolidation: Chart
The US Dollar was bearish against most of its major pairs on Tuesday with the exception of the CAD and JPY. On the US economic data front, Wholesale Inventories unexpectedly rose 0.5% on month in the August preliminary reading (-0.1% expected), compared to a revised -0.1% in the July final reading. Finally, the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index spiked to 101.8 on month in September (90.0 expected), from a revised 86.3 in August.
On Wednesday, the Mortgage Bankers Association's Mortgage Applications data for the week ending September 25th is expected. Automatic Data Processing's Employment Change for September is expected to increase to 648K on month, from 428K in August. U.S. GDP for the second quarter third reading is expected to remain at -31.7% on quarter, in line with the second quarter second reading. Market News International's Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index for September is expected to rise to 52.0 on month, from 51.2 in August. Finally, Pending Home Sales for August are expected to jump 3.2% on month, compared to +5.9% in July.
The Euro was bullish against most of its major pairs with the exception of the AUD. In Europe, France's INSEE has released September Consumer Confidence Index at 95 (vs 93 expected). The Bank of England has released the number of mortgage approvals for August at 84,700 (vs 71,300 expected). The European Commission has reported the Eurozone's September Economic Confidence Index rose from 87.5 to 91.1 (vs 89.0 expected). German CPI fell 0.2% in September in first estimation (-0.1% expected) after a 0.1% decline in August.
The Australian dollar was bullish against all of its major pairs.
Looking at the most active major pairs, the EUR/USD jumped 74 pips to 1.174. The pair as entered back into its prior consolidation zone. A bearish cross remains in-play after the 20-day moving average crossed below the 50-day moving average however bearish momentum as so far failed to materialize. A break above 1.2015 would signal a resumption of the prior uptrend. A break below 1.1605 support could cause an acceleration lower towards 1.15 key support that was acting as resistance back in March.
Source: GAIN Capital, TradingView
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